Updates / Notes

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Week 8 Statistics

Home/Away Model:

1. Base Version Record: 42-15
2. Base Version Accuracy: 73.68%
   –
3. Slimmed Version Record: 42-15
4. Slimmed Version Accuracy: 73.68%
   –
5. Agree-Disagree Between Versions: 55-2¹
6. Disagreement Percentage: 3.51%

Neutral Site Model:

1. Base Version Record: 1-0
2. Base Version Accuracy: 100.00%
   –
3. Slimmed Version Record: 1-0
4. Slimmed Version Accuracy: 100.00%
   –
5. Agree-Disagree Between Versions: 1-0
6. Disagreement Percentage: 100.00%

Combined:

1. Base Version Record: 43-15
2. Base Version Accuracy: 74.14%
   –
3. Slimmed Version Record: 43-15
4. Slimmed Version Accuracy: 74.14%
   –
5. Agree-Disagree Between Versions: 56-2
6. Disagreement Percentage: 3.45%

Notable Predictions

#9 Georgia over #5 Ole Miss (62.10% base, 58.71% slimmed)

Most Unlikely Outcomes

Louisville over #2 Miami (11.86% base, 13.39% slimmed)
SMU over Clemson (20.13% base, 29.84% slimmed)
Minnesota over #25 Nebraska (28.12% base, 29.11% slimmed)
Stanford over Florida State (11.55% base, 9.40% slimmed)

Biggest Nailbiters

#4 Texas A&M vs. Arkansas; 45-42 (Texas A&M Win: 82.77% base, 79.56% slimmed)
#21 Texas vs. Kentucky; 16-13 (Texas Win: 87.99% base, 85.42% slimmed)

Running Totals

Home/Away Model:

1. Base Version Record: 150-60
2. Base Version Accuracy: 71.43%
   –
3. Slimmed Version Record: 149-62
4. Slimmed Version Accuracy: 69.48%
   –
5. Agree-Disagree Between Versions: 202-8
6. Disagreement Percentage: 3.81%

Neutral Site Model:

1. Base Version Record: 2-1
2. Base Version Accuracy: 66.67%
   –
3. Slimmed Version Record: 3-0
4. Slimmed Version Accuracy: 100.00%
   –
5. Agree-Disagree Between Versions: 2-1
6. Disagreement Percentage: 66.67%

Combined:

1. Base Version Record: 152-61
2. Base Version Accuracy: 71.36%
   –
3. Slimmed Version Record: 152-62
4. Slimmed Version Accuracy: 71.03%
   –
5. Agree-Disagree Between Versions: 204-9
6. Disagreement Percentage: 4.23%

Full Breakdown of Results

Given that the Personal Plan in WordPress doesn’t allow for plugins to be installed, I can’t embed data tables into these pages without running into a ton of formatting issues.

To see the full breakdown of results, please follow the Google Drive link to the Excel document below:

Full Results

1. The version split on two different games, hence the same overall record for the week ↩︎